SC Covilha vs Carregado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.5%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
8.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
TRO
2 - 2
SPC
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
SPC
2 - 1
PEN
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
EST
1 - 0
SPC
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
SPC
1 - 2
GFC
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
SCF
3 - 2
SPC
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Carregado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 1
FAT
32%
28%
41%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
AVE
2 - 1
CAR
70%
20%
10%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 0
CAR
76%
17%
7%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
CAR
0 - 3
PEN
31%
27%
42%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
GFC
0 - 1
CAR
79%
15%
6%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | +1 |