SC Covilha vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
10º
8º
23
2º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ACA
1 - 1
SPC
54%
25%
21%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SPC
2 - 3
SCP
44%
25%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
TON
2 - 1
SPC
78%
15%
7%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
ACV
2 - 0
SPC
73%
18%
9%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
SPC
0 - 2
FEL
32%
26%
42%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 0
LUS
33%
25%
42%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
BEL
2 - 1
CAL
62%
21%
18%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
CAL
0 - 2
MAF
12%
19%
69%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
CAL
4 - 1
FCA
59%
22%
20%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 1
PEN
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |