SC Covilha vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
26.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
1º
11º
11º
18
2º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 21 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 18 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 18 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 13 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 12 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 12 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
18 | 12 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 12 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 9 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
14 | 9 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 7 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
OLI
1 - 0
SPC
40%
26%
35%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
SPC
1 - 2
LUS
53%
23%
24%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
SPC
1 - 1
ACA
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
USA
1 - 2
SPC
56%
25%
19%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
LUS
2 - 0
SPC
36%
27%
38%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
CAL
0 - 4
ACA
25%
25%
49%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
CAL
0 - 1
USA
33%
27%
40%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
LUS
0 - 0
CAL
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
CAL
2 - 1
OLI
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
USA
0 - 0
CAL
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |