SC Covilha vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
61.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
ACA
0 - 0
SPC
67%
19%
14%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
BEL
4 - 2
SPC
72%
16%
12%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1962 |
SPC
2 - 0
OLH
51%
23%
26%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
SPC
4 - 2
SAL
63%
20%
18%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
LEX
2 - 1
SPC
73%
16%
11%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
SLB
4 - 2
OLH
87%
9%
5%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
SAL
4 - 5
SLB
17%
20%
62%
|
87 | 55 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1962 |
FCN
3 - 1
SLB
36%
22%
42%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1962 |
SLB
7 - 1
LEX
79%
12%
9%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
SLB
3 - 3
SCP
56%
20%
23%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |