Taça de Portugal Quarter-finals
Global 2-9
SC Covilha vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
55.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1952 |
SLB
7 - 0
SPC
86%
9%
5%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1952 |
SPC
5 - 0
BOA
62%
18%
20%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1952 |
BOA
2 - 0
SPC
58%
19%
23%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
ATL
5 - 0
SPC
65%
18%
17%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1952 |
SPC
0 - 0
ACA
61%
19%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1952 |
SLB
7 - 0
SPC
86%
9%
5%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1952 |
SLB
8 - 2
EST
84%
10%
6%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1952 |
EST
0 - 1
SLB
28%
20%
52%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
SLB
2 - 0
FCP
76%
14%
11%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1952 |
BOA
0 - 3
SLB
19%
19%
63%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |