SC Covilha vs Atlético CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
38.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
10º
8º
33
1º
10º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
33 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
BEL
2 - 2
SPC
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
SPC
0 - 3
1DE
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 2
SPC
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
SPC
2 - 3
REB
61%
22%
18%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
SPC
3 - 4
ACA
33%
26%
42%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
ATL
1 - 1
ACA
35%
26%
39%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
LUS
0 - 1
ATL
31%
26%
43%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
ATL
3 - 0
SCP
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
BEL
0 - 0
ATL
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 0
USA
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |