SC Covilha vs Atlético CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
4º
8º
8º
11
3º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 16 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
9 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 0
SPC
31%
26%
43%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SPC
0 - 1
LUS
52%
25%
22%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ACA
0 - 0
SPC
36%
27%
37%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 1
SPC
21%
24%
55%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SPC
3 - 2
ACA
48%
25%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 0
VAR
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ALV
2 - 0
ATL
39%
26%
36%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 1
FEL
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
ACA
2 - 2
ATL
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 0
OLI
71%
18%
11%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | +1 |