SC Covilha vs Arouca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
36.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
BEN
1 - 1
SPC
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
VIZ
2 - 1
SPC
24%
25%
51%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
SPC
1 - 1
FAM
50%
27%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
LEX
2 - 1
SPC
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
OLI
2 - 2
SPC
29%
28%
43%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
SAC
0 - 1
ARO
14%
21%
65%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
ARO
2 - 0
SCP
53%
25%
23%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 0
ARO
29%
29%
42%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
ARO
0 - 0
BRA
60%
24%
17%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
REA
0 - 1
ARO
28%
28%
44%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |