SC Covilha vs Arouca analysis

SC Covilha Arouca
56 ELO 67
8.8% Tilt 1.1%
4839º General ELO ranking 390º
85º Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
31.2%
SC Covilha
26.5%
Draw
42.3%
Arouca

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.2%
Win probability
SC Covilha
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
42.3%
Win probability
Arouca
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SC Covilha
-17%
-1%
Arouca

ELO progression

SC Covilha
Arouca
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SC Covilha
SC Covilha
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Mar. 2011
FEI
Feirense
2 - 1
SC Covilha
SPC
63%
22%
15%
57 67 10 0
27 Feb. 2011
SPC
SC Covilha
0 - 1
CD Santa Clara
SAN
30%
27%
43%
57 68 11 0
20 Feb. 2011
SCF
SC Freamunde
5 - 1
SC Covilha
SPC
64%
21%
16%
58 63 5 -1
13 Feb. 2011
SPC
SC Covilha
0 - 1
Estoril
EST
38%
27%
35%
58 66 8 0
06 Feb. 2011
LEX
Leixões
0 - 1
SC Covilha
SPC
69%
20%
11%
57 69 12 +1

Matches

Arouca
Arouca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Mar. 2011
ARO
Arouca
2 - 2
Gil Vicente
GFC
48%
26%
26%
66 69 3 0
27 Feb. 2011
MOR
Moreirense
3 - 2
Arouca
ARO
37%
28%
35%
67 63 4 -1
20 Feb. 2011
ARO
Arouca
1 - 1
Os Belenenses
BEL
52%
26%
22%
67 68 1 0
13 Feb. 2011
FEI
Feirense
2 - 1
Arouca
ARO
42%
28%
31%
67 66 1 0
06 Feb. 2011
ARO
Arouca
1 - 0
CD Santa Clara
SAN
53%
25%
22%
67 67 0 0