SC Covilha vs Arouca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
42.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
FEI
2 - 1
SPC
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
SPC
0 - 1
SAN
30%
27%
43%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
SCF
5 - 1
SPC
64%
21%
16%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
SPC
0 - 1
EST
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
LEX
0 - 1
SPC
69%
20%
11%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
ARO
2 - 2
GFC
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
MOR
3 - 2
ARO
37%
28%
35%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
ARO
1 - 1
BEL
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
FEI
2 - 1
ARO
42%
28%
31%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
ARO
1 - 0
SAN
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |