Liga de Honra - Play Offs Ascenso Final
Global 2-0
SC Covilha vs FC Alverca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
15.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
ALV
0 - 0
SPC
23%
25%
52%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
ESA
0 - 1
SPC
42%
27%
32%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
SPC
0 - 1
RIO
17%
26%
57%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
VAR
0 - 2
SPC
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
SPC
1 - 1
LEX
31%
29%
40%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
ALV
0 - 0
SPC
23%
25%
52%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
UDL
1 - 2
ALV
50%
26%
24%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
ALV
1 - 1
UDL
42%
26%
33%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
ALV
2 - 1
FEL
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
VSC
0 - 0
ALV
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |