SC Covilha vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
23%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1985 |
SPB
2 - 1
SPC
68%
19%
13%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1985 |
SPC
1 - 2
CHA
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
AVE
3 - 0
SPC
48%
27%
26%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1985 |
SPC
1 - 1
PEN
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1985 |
SAL
0 - 2
SPC
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1985 |
ACA
1 - 1
VST
50%
28%
22%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1985 |
VIT
1 - 1
ACA
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
ACA
1 - 0
MAR
54%
27%
20%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1985 |
FCP
3 - 0
ACA
87%
9%
4%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1985 |
ACA
1 - 1
BOA
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |