SC Covilha vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
23.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1959 |
FAB
1 - 2
SPC
50%
23%
28%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1959 |
SPC
3 - 1
ATL
67%
19%
15%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1959 |
VIT
4 - 1
SPC
60%
19%
21%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1959 |
SLB
2 - 1
SPC
82%
11%
7%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1959 |
SPC
4 - 0
BOA
64%
19%
17%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1959 |
ACA
0 - 2
SLB
24%
23%
53%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1959 |
BOA
1 - 3
ACA
53%
23%
24%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1959 |
ACA
1 - 1
LGC
61%
20%
20%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1959 |
SPB
2 - 0
ACA
53%
22%
26%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1959 |
ACA
0 - 0
VST
60%
19%
21%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |