SC Covilha vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.1%
Win probability
3.31
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.8%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
4.2%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
17.7%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
12.7%
11.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1949 |
SPC
0 - 1
ATL
48%
20%
32%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1949 |
SPC
3 - 1
SPB
50%
19%
30%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1949 |
SPC
4 - 1
FAB
66%
17%
17%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
SPC
5 - 0
OEL
51%
20%
29%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
EST
2 - 2
SPC
89%
7%
4%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1949 |
VST
8 - 1
ACA
71%
15%
14%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1948 |
OLI
2 - 1
ACA
51%
19%
30%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1948 |
ACA
1 - 0
BOA
51%
21%
28%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1948 |
OEL
12 - 1
ACA
78%
12%
10%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1948 |
ACA
1 - 5
EST
24%
19%
57%
|
54 | 81 | 27 | -1 |