SC Guadalupe vs Ideal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
57.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Guadalupe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
FAY
3 - 0
SCG
31%
24%
45%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
SCG
2 - 0
AGU
78%
14%
8%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
PRA
2 - 0
SCG
82%
13%
6%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
SCG
1 - 2
SAN
28%
24%
48%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
SCG
0 - 1
BOA
44%
24%
32%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
IDE
0 - 1
PRA
67%
19%
14%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
BOA
0 - 0
IDE
27%
23%
49%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
IDE
2 - 2
MIC
75%
16%
9%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
IDE
3 - 0
LUS
36%
24%
40%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +4 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
FAY
4 - 4
IDE
16%
21%
64%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | -2 |