Sporting Baie-Mahault vs Dynamo Le Moule analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
34%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
4º
7º
4º
19
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
19 | 22 |
1º
|
59.5% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 21 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 19 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
|
2º
|
18 | 18 |
4º
|
9.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 16 |
6º
|
93.5% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
72.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
72.5% | |
|
9º
|
2 | 3 |
9º
|
96.5% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
9.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
90.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Baie-Mahault
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
GOU
2 - 1
CBM
35%
23%
41%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CSM
6 - 1
CBM
49%
22%
29%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CBM
1 - 1
LAG
49%
23%
29%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
RSG
0 - 1
CBM
49%
21%
30%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ASG
3 - 0
CBM
46%
22%
32%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Dynamo Le Moule
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ASD
1 - 1
RSG
55%
21%
24%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
STL
1 - 1
ASD
35%
22%
44%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ASD
1 - 0
USB
36%
22%
42%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
SIR
0 - 2
ASD
57%
20%
22%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
ASD
3 - 0
JUV
38%
23%
39%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +2 |