Châtelet vs Spy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
13.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Châtelet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
LER
5 - 1
SPO
18%
21%
61%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
SPO
3 - 2
ENT
67%
18%
15%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SPO
3 - 0
RAP
65%
19%
16%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
GOS
0 - 1
SPO
29%
23%
48%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
SPO
3 - 0
AND
77%
14%
9%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Spy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SPY
2 - 0
ARQ
42%
23%
35%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ENT
0 - 3
SPY
9%
16%
75%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
SPY
3 - 1
PES
34%
23%
43%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
JEM
2 - 2
SPY
50%
22%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
SPY
0 - 2
AIS
28%
21%
51%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |