Châtelet vs Excelsior Virton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
50.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Châtelet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
KNO
3 - 1
SPO
66%
18%
16%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
SPO
1 - 0
KSK
23%
24%
53%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
LIE
3 - 0
SPO
71%
17%
12%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
DEN
1 - 1
SPO
39%
23%
38%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
SPO
2 - 0
HEI
42%
25%
34%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
EXC
0 - 2
DEN
71%
18%
12%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
KVT
1 - 2
EXC
56%
24%
20%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
EXC
3 - 1
RUP
45%
23%
32%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
HEI
1 - 3
EXC
32%
24%
45%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
EXC
0 - 0
LIE
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |