Charleroi vs Excelsior Mouscron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Charleroi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
AND
0 - 1
CHA
74%
17%
9%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
CHA
1 - 1
BRU
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
1 - 0
CHA
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2007 |
CHA
3 - 1
MON
60%
24%
17%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
STR
1 - 3
CHA
33%
28%
39%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
BRU
1 - 0
EXC
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
EXC
2 - 0
LOK
59%
22%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
KVM
2 - 2
EXC
35%
28%
38%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
EXC
1 - 2
AND
25%
25%
50%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
KVC
0 - 2
EXC
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |