Charleroi vs FCV Dender analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
30.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
5º
13º
8º
1
4º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
0 | 46 |
1º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 46 |
2º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
1 | 44 |
3º
|
7.5% | |
|
1º
|
3 | 44 |
4º
|
9% | |
|
3º
|
1 | 44 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
1 | 44 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 43 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
1 | 42 |
8º
|
4.5% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 41 |
9º
|
7% | |
|
6º
|
1 | 41 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 41 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 39 |
12º
|
5.5% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 38 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 38 |
14º
|
7% | |
|
|
2º
|
1 | 35 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 28 |
16º
|
42% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
41.5% | 11.5% |
|
Next round
|
39.5% | 38.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
19% | 50% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Charleroi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
LEU
2 - 2
CHA
42%
25%
32%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
HIF
0 - 0
CHA
31%
24%
45%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
UTR
1 - 2
CHA
48%
24%
29%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
CHA
2 - 1
LIE
65%
20%
15%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2025 |
CHA
4 - 1
WAA
50%
24%
27%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FCV Dender
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
DEN
0 - 0
CER
29%
26%
46%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
HER
2 - 1
DEN
45%
23%
32%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2025 |
GRO
2 - 0
DEN
39%
24%
37%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
KSK
1 - 5
DEN
28%
23%
49%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
MER
4 - 0
DEN
12%
18%
70%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |