Sporting Central vs Waterhouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.9%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
38.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
RIV
1 - 1
SPO
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
SPO
4 - 1
ARN
32%
29%
40%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SPO
0 - 0
AUG
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2014 |
HAR
0 - 0
SPO
56%
26%
17%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
SPO
0 - 0
MON
31%
28%
41%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
WAT
1 - 0
POR
52%
27%
22%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2014 |
HAR
2 - 3
WAT
42%
31%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
WAT
1 - 0
BOY
58%
25%
17%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
TRI
0 - 2
WAT
47%
28%
26%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
RIV
0 - 0
WAT
41%
30%
30%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |