Sporting Central vs Waterhouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.9%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
38.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CAV
0 - 4
SPO
57%
25%
18%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
SPO
0 - 3
POR
29%
28%
44%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
BOY
4 - 2
SPO
65%
22%
13%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
SPO
2 - 3
HIG
50%
27%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
LIO
1 - 1
SPO
51%
27%
22%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
WAT
4 - 0
SAV
65%
22%
13%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
WAT
2 - 0
CAV
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
POR
1 - 1
WAT
43%
31%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2013 |
WAT
3 - 1
BOY
45%
28%
28%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
HIG
0 - 0
WAT
35%
30%
36%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |