Sporting Central vs Waterhouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
29.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
BOY
2 - 2
SPO
62%
23%
14%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2012 |
SPO
0 - 2
TRI
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2011 |
MON
1 - 1
SPO
52%
27%
21%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 1
REN
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2011 |
HIG
0 - 0
SPO
51%
27%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2012 |
WAT
4 - 1
VIL
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2012 |
POR
1 - 0
WAT
41%
31%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2011 |
WAT
1 - 1
HAR
38%
28%
34%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2011 |
WAT
0 - 2
ARN
60%
24%
16%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2011 |
BOY
1 - 2
WAT
54%
26%
20%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |