Sporting Central vs Waterhouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
29.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2011 |
HAR
0 - 0
SPO
58%
26%
17%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2010 |
REN
1 - 1
SPO
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
SPO
4 - 3
VIL
50%
27%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2010 |
POR
1 - 0
SPO
48%
30%
23%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
SPO
1 - 1
BOY
45%
27%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2011 |
WAT
1 - 1
POR
50%
27%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2010 |
STG
1 - 0
WAT
24%
28%
48%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
WAT
0 - 1
BOY
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2010 |
TRI
1 - 1
WAT
55%
25%
21%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2010 |
WAT
1 - 0
LIO
63%
23%
15%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |