Sporting Central vs Waterhouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
34.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2010 |
SPO
2 - 1
RIV
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
SPO
3 - 0
AUG
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
LIO
0 - 0
SPO
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
POR
3 - 1
SPO
47%
29%
24%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
SPO
1 - 1
ARN
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2010 |
WAT
6 - 1
STG
59%
24%
18%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2010 |
HAR
0 - 0
WAT
51%
27%
22%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2010 |
WAT
1 - 0
VIL
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
WAT
2 - 0
BOY
51%
26%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
TRI
1 - 0
WAT
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |