Sporting Central vs Waterhouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
34.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
AUG
1 - 0
SPO
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
SPO
0 - 1
POR
42%
28%
30%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2010 |
STG
1 - 0
SPO
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
SPO
0 - 4
TRI
34%
29%
36%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
SPO
1 - 1
LIO
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2010 |
POR
1 - 0
WAT
39%
29%
31%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2010 |
WAT
0 - 1
LIO
52%
25%
22%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2010 |
WAT
1 - 1
ARN
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2010 |
STG
2 - 2
WAT
38%
28%
33%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2010 |
WAT
1 - 3
HAR
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |