Sporting Central vs Waterhouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
26.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
AUG
1 - 0
SPO
38%
28%
34%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
SPO
0 - 1
POR
36%
30%
34%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
STG
2 - 0
SPO
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
SPO
0 - 0
TRI
38%
29%
33%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
SPO
3 - 0
LIO
44%
27%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2009 |
POR
1 - 1
WAT
54%
27%
19%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2009 |
WAT
2 - 1
LIO
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2009 |
WAT
2 - 0
ARN
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
STG
2 - 0
WAT
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2009 |
WAT
0 - 3
HAR
33%
27%
40%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |