Sporting Central vs Waterhouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
31.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
ARN
1 - 0
SPO
47%
28%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
SPO
0 - 2
RIV
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2008 |
SPO
1 - 1
MEU
52%
25%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
REN
1 - 1
SPO
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2008 |
SPO
0 - 3
TRI
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
MEU
0 - 1
WAT
46%
26%
29%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
WAT
1 - 1
ARN
61%
23%
17%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2008 |
WAT
3 - 0
RIV
54%
24%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
STG
1 - 0
WAT
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2008 |
WAT
0 - 3
HAR
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |