Sporting Central vs Waterhouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
36.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2008 |
HAR
3 - 0
SPO
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
SPO
5 - 2
REN
44%
27%
30%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +2 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
SPO
0 - 4
ARN
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2008 |
POR
3 - 1
SPO
60%
24%
16%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
MON
2 - 2
SPO
47%
26%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
WAT
2 - 2
REN
57%
24%
20%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
ARN
1 - 1
WAT
35%
28%
37%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
WAT
1 - 1
POR
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2008 |
MON
1 - 0
WAT
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
AUG
1 - 1
WAT
32%
27%
41%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |