Sporting Central vs Waterhouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
33%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
HAR
2 - 2
SPO
67%
21%
13%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
SPO
4 - 3
REN
41%
27%
33%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
SPO
0 - 0
ARN
53%
24%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
POR
1 - 0
SPO
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
WAT
2 - 1
REN
50%
26%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
ARN
0 - 0
WAT
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
WAT
1 - 0
POR
45%
28%
28%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
MON
4 - 3
WAT
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
WAT
3 - 0
BOY
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |