Sporting Central vs Tivoli Gardens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
34.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2015 |
ARN
2 - 0
SPO
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 2
HAR
29%
29%
42%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
LIO
2 - 0
SPO
45%
28%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
SPO
0 - 1
MON
34%
28%
38%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 2
SPO
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Tivoli Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
TRI
1 - 1
CAV
54%
25%
20%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2015 |
BOY
1 - 0
TRI
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
TRI
1 - 0
WAT
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
REN
2 - 4
TRI
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
RIV
3 - 0
TRI
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |