Sporting Central vs Tivoli Gardens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
33.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
HAR
2 - 1
SPO
61%
25%
14%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
SPO
0 - 1
MON
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2012 |
ARN
2 - 1
SPO
57%
25%
18%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2012 |
SPO
3 - 0
SAV
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 1
WAT
39%
29%
33%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Tivoli Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
TRI
1 - 2
WAT
57%
25%
18%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2012 |
CAV
1 - 0
TRI
41%
29%
30%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2012 |
LIO
1 - 1
TRI
41%
30%
29%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
TRI
0 - 1
POR
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2012 |
BOY
2 - 0
TRI
50%
28%
23%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |