Sporting Central vs Tivoli Gardens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.5%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
32%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
HAR
0 - 1
SPO
62%
24%
14%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2009 |
SPO
1 - 1
BOY
37%
28%
36%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
SPO
4 - 0
VIL
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
POR
1 - 0
SPO
63%
24%
13%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
STG
1 - 1
SPO
52%
26%
21%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tivoli Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
TRI
2 - 0
POR
49%
26%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
HAR
1 - 1
TRI
49%
28%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
ARN
1 - 1
TRI
37%
29%
34%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2009 |
TRI
4 - 1
RIV
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
TRI
0 - 2
WAT
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |