Sporting Central vs Tivoli Gardens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
35.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
BOY
4 - 1
SPO
45%
26%
30%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2007 |
SPO
1 - 1
WAT
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
HAR
2 - 2
SPO
67%
21%
13%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
SPO
4 - 3
REN
41%
27%
33%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
SPO
0 - 0
ARN
53%
24%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tivoli Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
TRI
2 - 0
REN
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2007 |
ARN
1 - 1
TRI
35%
27%
38%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
POR
3 - 0
TRI
51%
27%
23%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
MON
1 - 2
TRI
36%
27%
37%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
TRI
1 - 1
AUG
57%
24%
20%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |