Sporting Central vs August Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
21.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2009 |
POR
0 - 1
SPO
51%
28%
21%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
SPO
0 - 0
STG
46%
27%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
TRI
1 - 1
SPO
69%
20%
11%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2009 |
SPO
0 - 0
HAR
31%
27%
42%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
LIO
0 - 0
SPO
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
August Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
AUG
4 - 2
ARN
37%
29%
34%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
AUG
2 - 2
VIL
43%
28%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2009 |
HAR
1 - 1
AUG
64%
23%
14%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
STG
2 - 1
AUG
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2009 |
AUG
0 - 0
TRI
26%
28%
46%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | +1 |