Sporting Celanova vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
43.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Celanova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
ARO
1 - 0
SPO
83%
12%
6%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
SPO
2 - 1
NAV
37%
24%
39%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
TUR
3 - 0
SPO
83%
11%
6%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1977 |
SPO
2 - 1
GIM
23%
23%
54%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | +3 |
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
PON
4 - 0
SPO
90%
7%
3%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
LUG
5 - 0
NOI
84%
11%
5%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
SAN
2 - 1
LUG
50%
24%
26%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
LUG
4 - 1
VDB
81%
12%
7%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1977 |
SIE
2 - 1
LUG
51%
24%
25%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
LUG
1 - 0
VAL
62%
22%
16%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |