Sporting Celanova vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
33.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Celanova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
BAR
1 - 1
SPO
39%
25%
36%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
SPO
4 - 1
ARE
27%
25%
48%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +2 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
PON
2 - 1
SPO
50%
24%
27%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
SPO
1 - 0
CUL
29%
25%
46%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
MEL
1 - 1
SPO
41%
25%
34%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
CHO
1 - 0
SAN
55%
23%
22%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
CHO
8 - 1
BAR
59%
22%
19%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
ARE
1 - 0
CHO
57%
22%
20%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
CHO
1 - 1
PON
58%
23%
19%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
CUL
1 - 0
CHO
54%
23%
24%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |