Sporting Celanova vs A Manchica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
19.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Celanova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SDN
4 - 0
SPO
76%
15%
9%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 2
TAB
50%
22%
28%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
FRA
1 - 2
SPO
47%
23%
30%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
SPO
3 - 1
AVI
50%
22%
29%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ALL
5 - 0
SPO
78%
14%
8%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
A Manchica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
MAN
0 - 1
VAL
63%
19%
19%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
APE
4 - 1
MAN
76%
13%
10%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
MAN
3 - 2
RIB
23%
21%
57%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
COR
3 - 2
MAN
39%
23%
37%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
MAN
2 - 3
MAS
29%
21%
50%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |