Sporting Cascajos vs Villegas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
3.9%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
1.5%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.1%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.7%
86.4%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
13.2%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.4%
0-4
10%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
13.6%
0-5
6%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
7.8%
0-6
3%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.8%
0-7
1.3%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.6%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cascajos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
BAÑ
4 - 2
SPO
75%
14%
10%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 5
CDS
40%
20%
39%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
CFC
3 - 1
SPO
52%
21%
28%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 1
RBF
32%
21%
47%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
AUT
5 - 2
SPO
88%
9%
3%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
VIL
4 - 3
CDA
77%
14%
10%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 2
VIL
27%
23%
50%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 0
NAX
72%
16%
12%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
ILO
3 - 2
VIL
7%
13%
79%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 0
RAC
93%
5%
2%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |