Sporting Canamy vs Gavilanes Matamoros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
60.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
1º
11º
11º
24
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 26 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
24 | 22 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 21 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 15 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 15 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
8 | 7 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Canamy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
REB
4 - 2
CAN
75%
16%
9%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2024 |
CAN
1 - 1
LUL
51%
23%
26%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
PDS
3 - 1
CAN
35%
25%
41%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CAN
1 - 2
IRA
8%
18%
75%
|
42 | 73 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
CAN
5 - 2
COL
52%
22%
26%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Gavilanes Matamoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
LUL
1 - 2
GAV
25%
25%
50%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
GAV
0 - 2
IRA
20%
24%
55%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
COL
1 - 3
GAV
13%
22%
65%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
GAV
4 - 1
COR
65%
21%
15%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
AGU
1 - 2
GAV
52%
24%
25%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |