Sporting Caesaraugusta vs Peñaflor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.8%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
15.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Caesaraugusta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CAS
7 - 0
SPO
67%
18%
15%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
SPO
3 - 1
JUA
44%
22%
35%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
PEN
1 - 0
SPO
46%
22%
32%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
SPO
0 - 3
BOR
54%
21%
26%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -2 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
AVE
2 - 4
SPO
31%
22%
47%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Peñaflor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
SAG
0 - 2
PAD
86%
9%
5%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
PAD
0 - 1
OLI
38%
21%
41%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
PAD
0 - 1
CAS
19%
19%
63%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
VAL
2 - 1
PAD
73%
16%
12%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
JUA
1 - 0
PAD
68%
17%
15%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | +1 |