SP Cabanillas vs Carranque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
48.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SP Cabanillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
UDT
3 - 0
CAB
46%
25%
28%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
CAB
0 - 3
QUI
27%
25%
48%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
ADS
1 - 0
CAB
51%
23%
26%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
CAB
0 - 1
MOR
31%
26%
43%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
SON
1 - 0
CAB
40%
24%
36%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Carranque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
CAR
3 - 0
MAD
49%
24%
27%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
NOB
1 - 1
CAR
47%
24%
29%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
CAR
5 - 0
TAL
65%
20%
15%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
FUE
0 - 1
CAR
37%
25%
38%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
CAR
2 - 1
YUN
49%
24%
27%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +2 |