Sporting Braga vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
PAÇ
0 - 1
SPB
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
SPB
1 - 1
SAN
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2003 |
SPB
1 - 1
ACA
60%
21%
19%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
FCP
3 - 0
SPB
76%
15%
9%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
SPB
1 - 0
VST
60%
23%
18%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2003 |
VAR
2 - 0
FEL
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
MOR
1 - 0
VAR
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
VAR
0 - 0
PAÇ
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
VAR
0 - 0
SAN
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
ACA
2 - 1
VAR
42%
26%
33%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |