Sporting Braga vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
11.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
MAR
4 - 1
SPB
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
SPB
0 - 2
BOA
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
SCP
2 - 2
SPB
67%
19%
13%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2002 |
SPB
1 - 0
PAÇ
58%
23%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2002 |
SPB
1 - 3
LEX
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
VAR
0 - 0
VIT
35%
27%
37%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
FAR
1 - 1
VAR
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
VAR
2 - 0
GFC
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
UDL
0 - 1
VAR
70%
20%
11%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
VAR
1 - 0
ALV
37%
26%
37%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |