Sporting Braga vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.1%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1998 |
MAR
1 - 1
SPB
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1998 |
SPB
0 - 2
SAL
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1998 |
SLB
3 - 0
SPB
66%
22%
13%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1998 |
SPB
2 - 1
SLB
32%
27%
41%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1998 |
SPB
1 - 2
BOA
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1998 |
VAR
0 - 1
SCP
19%
26%
56%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1998 |
RIO
0 - 0
VAR
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1998 |
VAR
1 - 1
ACA
47%
28%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1998 |
VST
1 - 1
VAR
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1998 |
VAR
3 - 0
CAM
37%
27%
37%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |