Sporting Braga vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
8.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
17.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
15.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1987 |
FCP
3 - 1
SPB
86%
10%
4%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1987 |
SPB
0 - 0
BOA
52%
25%
22%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1987 |
SPB
0 - 2
SCP
24%
27%
49%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1987 |
BEL
4 - 2
SPB
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1987 |
SPB
3 - 0
POR
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1987 |
VAR
1 - 1
SCP
18%
27%
55%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1987 |
BEL
4 - 1
VAR
68%
20%
12%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1987 |
VAR
1 - 1
POR
50%
29%
20%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1987 |
ACA
0 - 0
VAR
55%
27%
18%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1987 |
VAR
1 - 1
SAL
54%
27%
18%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |