Sporting Braga vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
12.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
ACA
0 - 1
SPB
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
SPB
5 - 2
GFC
67%
18%
16%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
SPB
3 - 0
MAR
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
BEL
7 - 1
SPB
49%
27%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
SPB
1 - 1
VST
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
VAR
1 - 1
SLB
20%
27%
53%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
FCP
3 - 0
VAR
86%
10%
4%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
VAR
2 - 0
FCB
61%
24%
16%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
ACV
1 - 0
VAR
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
VAR
2 - 1
BMA
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |