Sporting Braga vs União Madeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.6%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
6.5%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
SPB
4 - 1
FEN
39%
26%
35%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
BEL
3 - 0
SPB
25%
27%
48%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
FEN
1 - 0
SPB
52%
25%
23%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
SPB
3 - 1
FCP
33%
26%
42%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
RIO
0 - 0
SPB
29%
28%
43%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
FCP
3 - 2
UNM
73%
18%
8%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
UNM
0 - 0
BEL
31%
28%
41%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2016 |
SLB
2 - 0
UNM
81%
13%
6%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
UNM
1 - 1
EST
22%
28%
50%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ARO
3 - 0
UNM
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |