Sporting Braga vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
7.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 3
SPB
25%
27%
49%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2012 |
SPB
4 - 0
VIT
68%
20%
12%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
BJK
0 - 1
SPB
45%
25%
30%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
GFC
0 - 3
SPB
22%
26%
52%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
SPB
0 - 2
BJK
58%
24%
18%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2012 |
UDL
1 - 3
OLH
46%
27%
28%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 0
UDL
65%
22%
13%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
UDL
0 - 0
BMA
50%
27%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
FCP
4 - 0
UDL
82%
13%
6%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
UDL
2 - 4
PAÇ
33%
28%
39%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |