Sporting Braga vs Tondela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.1%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
6.3%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2021 |
SPB
0 - 2
ROM
38%
24%
38%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 1
SPB
16%
20%
64%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
SPB
1 - 1
FCP
35%
24%
40%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
SPB
2 - 2
FCP
36%
24%
40%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2021 |
SPB
2 - 1
POR
85%
11%
4%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
TON
2 - 1
MAR
38%
27%
34%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2021 |
RIO
2 - 1
TON
67%
21%
13%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
TON
60%
24%
16%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
TON
2 - 0
FAR
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2021 |
BEL
2 - 0
TON
47%
28%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |