UCL Qualifying Third Round Final
Global 7-1
Sporting Braga vs FK TSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
15%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
SPB
2 - 0
NIC
59%
22%
19%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
SPB
1 - 1
ROM
32%
26%
42%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
BRO
2 - 3
SPB
12%
20%
68%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
SPB
1 - 0
CAR
76%
16%
8%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
SPB
2 - 0
BOA
73%
17%
10%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
FK TSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
RAD
0 - 3
TSC
21%
26%
54%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
TSC
3 - 3
PAR
39%
26%
36%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
CRV
3 - 0
TSC
62%
20%
18%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
TSC
0 - 2
RSM
83%
12%
5%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
TSC
1 - 2
VAR
63%
21%
17%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |